TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77ec…16ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$54.69
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.73
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$136.59
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$28.3
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$58.37
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$78.46
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.42
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.52
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.14
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.98
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.95
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$158.18
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$94.39
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$8.66
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+93%+$26.3
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.18
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.21
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$6.04
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$102.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$20.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.84
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.56
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$208.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.