MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ece1c04861c5a77866cc5e5a8360742afe0b870b2a2e94678bfbb07bef76854

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $134,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $137,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,497 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over	50c	100,000$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,000	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under	50c	63,829$31,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,914.67	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under	50c	50,000$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	283	50.9%144 W · 139 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	50c	13,014$6,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,507	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	46c	5,319$2,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,440	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	49c	2,635$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,292.61	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over	51c	2,431$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,191.37	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	55c	2,297$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,033.03	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	117	49.6%58 W · 59 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over	39c	1,644$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.83	265	45.7%121 W · 144 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	1c	1,260$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	119	14.3%17 W · 102 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+289.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	50c	1,025$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.5	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	49c	862.72$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.73	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	50c	810.03$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.46	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	51c	520.85$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.27	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over	51c	490.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.2	243	50.6%123 W · 120 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over	47c	251.74$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.37	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1334…4ce4backed Under	46c	232.09$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under	43c	228.7$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.34	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc822…650bbacked Under	49c	203.92$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.5	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	246	46.7%115 W · 131 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over	51c	196$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.04	294	46.6%137 W · 157 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Over	56c	166.45$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.24	181	54.7%99 W · 82 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over	53c	150.94$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.94	795	43%342 W · 453 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	39c	129.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.43	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	49c	120.01$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c35…3f6dbacked Under	72c	112.99$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.07	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-44%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over	51c	103.88$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.9	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Over	37c	81.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.46	115	53%61 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	55c	76.59$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.02	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	49c	75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.82	1,053	47.3%498 W · 555 L	-14.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under	46c	74.08$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.98	1,367	54.3%742 W · 625 L	+16.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a80…2dadbacked Over	51c	50.23$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.61	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under	50c	47.17$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.59	131	52.7%69 W · 62 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over	41c	46.34$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.34	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	55c	44.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.64	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	55c	44.31$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.35	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	44c	42.23$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	1,218	55.6%677 W · 541 L	+94.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a49…7c49backed Under	49c	40.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	52cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53db…480ebacked Over	51c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae37…90f2backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x920d…868dbacked Under	51c	38.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	52c	37.64$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.23	2,545	45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	61c	37$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.57	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under	51c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.36	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over	54c	32$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.72	558	47.7%266 W · 292 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	45c	31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	34c	30.53$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	677	42.2%286 W · 391 L	-36.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	51c	29.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.34	344	52.6%181 W · 163 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Over	57c	28.81$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.39	86	69.8%60 W · 26 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77ec…16aebacked Over	50c	28.08$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.94	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d5…9622backed Over	51c	27.67$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.56	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…d6babacked Over	54c	27.02$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over	51c	23.88$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	185	51.4%95 W · 90 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e02…d9e2backed Over	51c	23.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	51c	21.02$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	174	50.6%88 W · 86 L	-9.0wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d63…0f8dbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	49cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	76c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.55	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersAtlanta Braves won
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event