TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over48c43,207$20,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,739.4655053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under52c38,000$19,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,24086548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under51c3,770$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.423,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over49c3,265$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c2,932$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.692,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over52c2,430$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.259,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9705,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over48c1,657$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.462,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under52c1,029$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.774,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under51c1,026$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.8265549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under53c1,010$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.881,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c861.23$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4088,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c799.96$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.986,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c787.71$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.4311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over41c750$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.494034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under52c674$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5227249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under52c623.32$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1928154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c611.91$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.722,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under52c600.52$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2567444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c524.38$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c510.19$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.791,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over49c372$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2829446.6%137 W · 157 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2350949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Under51c211.51$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9684140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under42c196.15$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.626,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over52c195$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.413452.2%70 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under52c179.97$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.841,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over49c163.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0254152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8544348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Over49c153$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.975738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.54,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c148.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c132.4$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.21,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed Under51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+49%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under55c101.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8712352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5440…2f1ebacked Over45c101.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4882741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under51c99.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.981,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under48c98.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.768943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0299744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa20d…eadebacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1520446.6%95 W · 109 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under56c91.85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.11,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under52c85.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.120764.7%134 W · 73 L+21.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over42c83.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.178,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c74…14d6backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under52c77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9621353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over47c74.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.285,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.933032.7%108 W · 222 L-22.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77ec…16aebacked Over49c60.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c60.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.531,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8472247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.841,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Over49c50.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7917250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under52c45.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8213152.7%69 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under52c44.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4222849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over48c43.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a80…2dadbacked Over49c41.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.337652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over49c40.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8634452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under40c40.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2415349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465062%31 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under51c36.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7627354.6%149 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over49c34.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7218551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over55c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over48c30.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.715648.7%76 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e02…d9e2backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a4…6f8fbacked Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over49c27.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5545246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over49c25.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6914047.1%66 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864d…9c2ebacked Over56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5c…fb95backed Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.764332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3249942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under52c22.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.84,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d5…9622backed Over49c20.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.117643.4%33 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over49c20.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0865359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over52c20.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.683053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.