MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c1d25facbacfc387848b3e9a117b05ae1d01a36b5577b0ec8fe95575c5664bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 44c | 133,807$58,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,306.19 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 59,830$33,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,056.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 56c | 18,888$10,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,310.72 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 56c | 17,058$9,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,505.33 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 56c | 14,790$8,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,457.6 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 9,763$5,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 5,113$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.55 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 4,073$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 3,711$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 2,972$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.33 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 57c | 2,430$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.39 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 59c | 2,097$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.78 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 43c | 2,074$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 58c | 2,000$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.67 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 44c | 1,494$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.54 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 57c | 1,337$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.73 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 1,100$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.84 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 1,000$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 57c | 937$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.07 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 802.4$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.12 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 58c | 787.81$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.88 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 42c | 686.66$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.55 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 41c | 666.95$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.45 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 57c | 539.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 38c | 530.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 57c | 516.34$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.03 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 42c | 500$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 39c | 450$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 58c | 435$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 57c | 400.01$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 44c | 384.84$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 77c | 383$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 59c | 365.27$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 36c | 350.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 23c | 350$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 62c | 347.23$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 56c | 297$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Under | 58c | 272.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 27c | 246$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 57c | 233.12$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 56c | 230$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 57c | 216.75$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Under | 58c | 208.93$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 58c | 194.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…16aebacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 57c | 165.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 56c | 164.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 56c | 146.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 144.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 37c | 143.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 37c | 143.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 44c | 138.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 69c | 133$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 56c | 128.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 59c | 122$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 43c | 118.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 58c | 115.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Under | 58c | 96.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Under | 58c | 84.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 36c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 60c | 81.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 78.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 65c | 72.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 57c | 70.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…4760backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 59.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Under | 57c | 51.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 43c | 49.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Over | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Over | 42c | 45.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 57c | 44.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Under | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8ac3backed Under | 57c | 39.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Under | 56c | 38.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Under | 56c | 38.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Under | 59c | 34.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 42c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…2898backed Over | 41c | 29.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…fb95backed Over | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…560ebacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Under | 58c | 26.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over | 42c | 25.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 58c | 25.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 57c | 24.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.