MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7c776db42b96e880f1b127c58f142d4433f9db74b2da18daa295e0d5f57f74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Milwaukee Brewers, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 10,200$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.28 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 9,508$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 8,910$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 6,902$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.69 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 1,525$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.67 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 1,475$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.21 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 757.37$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.69 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 737.78$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.44 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 557.21$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 505.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 499.97$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 490$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 340$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 333$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 272.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 207.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 207.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 120.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 93.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 90.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 80.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 72.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked San Diego Padres | 63c | 58.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed San Diego Padres | 80c | 57.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 52.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 42.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 42.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 39.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 37.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 35.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…aec4backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 24.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 23.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 22.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 20.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.