Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18c7560b59a566a33dd8c12dac8496f88e1b9700664e3330f1b64927f4572fc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $492,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 48c | 190,295$90,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,440.73 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 52c | 104,500$54,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,340 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 51c | 103,500$52,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,784.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 27,415$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.17 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 76c | 26,881$20,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,496.27 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 52c | 20,800$10,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,816 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 49c | 19,364$9,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,875.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 49c | 19,056$9,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,718.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 52c | 14,408$7,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,492.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 13,348$6,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,547.14 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 51c | 13,000$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 13c | 12,740$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.03 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 12,503$6,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,563.83 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 11,510$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.14 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 49c | 10,843$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,547.86 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 52c | 9,870$5,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes | 49c | 6,939$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 49c | 6,392$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes | 49c | 6,388$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes | 49c | 4,694$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 4,486$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.08 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 49c | 4,319$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0e…6257backed Yes | 49c | 3,702$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 16c | 3,253$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.5 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 52c | 3,249$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.34 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 2,771$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.83 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 10c | 2,521$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.66 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 12c | 2,493$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 53c | 2,400$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 52c | 1,628$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.5 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 53c | 1,516$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.33 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 24c | 1,310$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes | 48c | 1,271$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 49c | 1,242$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.42 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 49c | 1,208$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed No | 52c | 1,204$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 20c | 1,170$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 48c | 973.91$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.43 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…3f90backed Yes | 66c | 965.66$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 52c | 960.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 51c | 864.74$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.02 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 47c | 740$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.45 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 54c | 739.78$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.48 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 49c | 694.81$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.35 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes | 73c | 685.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 49c | 671.82$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.63 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 30c | 668$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 53c | 650$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 7c | 607.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 44c | 492.16$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 53c | 480$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 53c | 480$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 52c | 444$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 47c | 423.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 52c | 408.62$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.48 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 49c | 406$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 54c | 399.95$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 49c | 396.27$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 10c | 380.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 53c | 320$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 19c | 317$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x620f…4288backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 48c | 310$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Yes | 77c | 259.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 33c | 254.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 251.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 77c | 235.5$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…5aa7backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 49c | 203.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…2669backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 29c | 195.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.