Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee778c504301af0a084f4739c98eac52d15d25cfe2b27174aaad24320aab838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 75c | 25,000$18,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,369.99 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 10,198$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.37 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 8,759$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.65 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 7c | 3,785$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.35 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 74c | 3,281$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.94 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,101$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.81 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 26c | 1,925$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 1,870$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 73c | 1,860$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 1,831$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.35 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,620$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 12c | 1,620$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,564$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.78 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 72c | 1,519$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.05 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 27c | 1,362$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,221$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.76 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 26c | 1,064$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.64 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 27c | 973.91$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.96 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 27c | 799.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 3c | 608.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 589.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 448.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 387.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 320.57$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 72c | 293.83$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 72c | 275.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 223.05$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 27c | 199.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 17cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 74c | 175.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 26c | 156.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 26c | 152.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked Yes | 26c | 136.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 26c | 127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 104.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 28c | 89.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 78c | 86.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…b731backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 26c | 64.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 62.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 28c | 61.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 59.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 52.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 26c | 41.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 75c | 37.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed No | 73c | 21.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.