MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae5a10a844b99ed3892fddcac27ea1b834f3eb6c603c71f6170f1e15715ccb8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 8,500$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 7,500$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 7,047$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.27 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 5,753$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 2,506$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 2,432$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,879$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.29 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 1,852$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 1,774$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.36 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,502$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.19 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,430$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.2 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,339$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.84 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,040$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.6 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 883.41$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.43 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 835$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 598.74$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 550$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 536.93$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 461.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.93 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 417.59$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.92 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 382.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.93 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 369.62$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 359.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 233.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 218.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 201.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 144.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1261…b398backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 61.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3194…eb07backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 44.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 38.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 37.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 35.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 30.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 27.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 27.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 22.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 22.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.