South American Leagues · resolved market
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14dd462be32030948244094ded5d2c1f4dd5afb6b593c79cf1e9badad147d42a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 58c | 2,585$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.51 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 77c | 2,274$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 23c | 1,616$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.96 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 1,024$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 77c | 991.97$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.95 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 77c | 979.56$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…134fbacked Over | 25c | 645.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +160.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 636.48$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.24 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 23c | 542.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.72 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 23c | 542.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.71 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 23c | 506.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.27 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 77c | 461.72$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.68 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 47c | 430.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.91 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 24c | 349.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.53 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 23c | 294.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.56 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 22c | 256.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.42 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 45c | 228.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 193.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 140.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 77c | 112.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 77c | 102.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 76c | 102.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 24c | 101.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 76c | 97.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 74c | 84.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 25c | 70.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 56.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 56.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 22c | 55.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…7c24backed Over | 27c | 55.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Under | 75c | 50.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Under | 77c | 45.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Under | 76c | 30.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…85d2backed Under | 76c | 20.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 76c | 16.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5this page
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.