South American Leagues · resolved market
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf12e968ef7d6453a6616e399afe477151d1f1e3cfeac567dd404a2752479c203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Under | 54c | 10,599$5,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,717.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Over | 48c | 5,240$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 22c | 3,162$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 46c | 3,033$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.83 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,454$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.95 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 1,507$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.64 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 1,472$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 49c | 1,028$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.08 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 985.03$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.22 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 900$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.5 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 681.9$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 75c | 636.55$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.65 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 604.88$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.72 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 53c | 517.26$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.97 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 53c | 465.17$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.59 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 78c | 451.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Over | 46c | 329.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.16 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 46c | 320$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 53c | 309.65$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 50c | 300.73$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 47c | 265$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 47c | 265$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 243.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 196.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 55c | 72.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 52c | 68.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 59.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 23c | 58.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Over | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 53c | 31.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 53c | 26.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 53c | 26.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 77c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked Over | 46c | 25.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 52c | 24.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 54c | 18.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 79c | 15.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 77c | 14.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5this page
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.