South American Leagues · resolved market
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4e4f24e27b2c83718427eb21bc5d3d7e5a74646a6146753caae9c0107b22b14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,476$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…5dddbacked Over | 72c | 835.29$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 28c | 744.18$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.37 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…be8bbacked Over | 70c | 714.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 70c | 444.49$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 67c | 299.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 75c | 299$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 201.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Over | 79c | 143.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 73c | 143.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 21c | 141.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under | 26c | 135.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 32c | 71.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 70.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 72c | 58.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 28c | 51.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 32c | 42.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 79c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5this page
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.