South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf515b01ddac99189d394a5f2c1eba5c9c40ea2a4ed23843e7c8f666fad383bdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 58c | 5,345$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 35c | 3,207$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 27c | 2,648$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.37 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 53c | 2,306$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.25 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,779$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 66c | 1,524$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.59 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 48c | 1,302$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.98 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 48c | 1,129$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 49c | 753.49$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.1 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 47c | 606.22$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.43 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 48c | 596.55$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.93 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 490.87$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Over | 48c | 481.3$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 54c | 444.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 78c | 438.59$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 49c | 435.67$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 416.94$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 10c | 403.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 49c | 386.6$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 352.52$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.21 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 34c | 314.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…4e6bbacked Over | 34c | 288.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 47c | 212.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 197.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 193$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 181.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 165.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 38c | 140.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 52c | 137.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 120.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 46c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 49c | 108.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over | 52c | 107$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 45c | 87.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 49c | 85.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 49c | 76.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 47.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 50c | 41.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 50c | 39.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 50c | 39.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 52c | 36.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…3527backed Under | 49c | 35.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…2a5ebacked Over | 32c | 35.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 49c | 32.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…0e3fbacked Over | 50c | 24.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…57a3backed Under | 49c | 21.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Under | 49c | 21.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.