South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae303eac9b141292dcb67d3509dfe6805121c4d3ea67b910e958d1008aeddfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 16c | 2,135$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 1,302$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.71 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 31c | 1,039$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 31c | 953$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.43 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Under | 30c | 872.57$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.8 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 80c | 347.1$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 267.78$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 68c | 183$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 135.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 49c | 90.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…4edbbacked Under | 30c | 65.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 75c | 60.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 32c | 50.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9b21backed Over | 29c | 44.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 72c | 37.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 68c | 34.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 72c | 27.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.