South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f1d9a61a0900905bdc55e9af893d311cf8fb4c6c1c769a89c842e15923ed34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 3,156$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 37c | 2,722$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 67c | 1,320$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.65 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 70c | 1,213$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.83 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 688.85$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 31c | 653.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.42 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 73c | 600$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 573.09$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.57 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 55c | 560$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 59c | 503.39$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 39c | 498.56$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 483.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.32 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 454.68$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 17c | 404.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 23c | 361.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.68 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 51c | 350.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Over | 66c | 314.41$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 24c | 284.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 71c | 283.36$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 23c | 273.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.73 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Under | 49c | 257.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 23c | 247.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 231.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 63c | 213.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 53c | 186.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Over | 59c | 180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 41c | 172.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 30c | 163.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 66c | 151.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 69c | 143.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 72c | 112.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 23c | 100.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 41c | 97.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 33c | 71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 65c | 65.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 41c | 65.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 77c | 62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Under | 60c | 54.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Over | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 76c | 50.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Under | 24c | 48.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…554cbacked Under | 24c | 42.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +201.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 47c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…0569backed Under | 77c | 33.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Under | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 40c | 31.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d70…b1d8backed Over | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 50c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Over | 78c | 21.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 78c | 12.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.