South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd09b2e3a4524d483bada2cc3240c1c3709a64570ef768a76ff15ffa80e6e7d84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 490.88$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.8 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 51c | 348.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Yes | 51c | 347.92$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.44 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 57c | 347.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 315.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.08 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…63fbbacked Yes | 57c | 285.44$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Yes | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 43c | 230.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 47c | 214.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 211.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 126.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed No | 62c | 117.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Yes | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 43c | 106.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 78.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…6d56backed Yes | 58c | 74.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed No | 79c | 57.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 57c | 36.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed No | 56c | 35.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…f6f0backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 43c | 24.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked No | 62c | 23.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.