Mls · resolved market
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48449e1f89456485d00682a6969965c2151f10c5da0b8f27152d8b4bf9e2de0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 27c | 51,827$13,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,959.91 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 17,584$12,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.59 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 73c | 9,216$6,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.32 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 73c | 4,110$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.8 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 73c | 1,920$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.6 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 1,813$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.53 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 73c | 1,600$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Under | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 73c | 883.88$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 73c | 684$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 73c | 616.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 73c | 592$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 73c | 562.05$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 73c | 460$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 74c | 450$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.28 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 73c | 431.75$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 73c | 340.79$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 333$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 73c | 318.26$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 26c | 290.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 23c | 268.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 73c | 260$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 73c | 260$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 73c | 219.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 73c | 209.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 73c | 209.61$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 73c | 201.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 73c | 171$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 73c | 171$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 73c | 166.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 76c | 165.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 74c | 164.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 73c | 156$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 73c | 156$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 73c | 153.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…3784backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 73c | 133.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 73c | 130.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 73c | 126.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 73c | 109.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 73c | 90.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 73c | 88.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 75c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 73c | 66.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 73c | 58.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 73c | 52.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 23c | 51.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 73c | 45.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 73c | 38.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 73c | 32.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 73c | 27.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…66cbbacked Under | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 73c | 21.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 73c | 18.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 73c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5this page
- Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Austin FC (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.