TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Shabab Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Shabab Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,678 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x133b…5856backed Al Nassr Saudi Club9c1,791$161 inLost-$161.162437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Shabab Saudi Club60c1,343$804 inWon+$539.265,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Nassr Saudi Club46c816.76$376 inLost-$376.162,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Al Nassr Saudi Club13c593.73$74 inLost-$74.3339655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Al Shabab Saudi Club40c378.14$150 inWon+$228.145028%14 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club33c300$99 inLost-$9911931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club70c142.86$100 inWon+$42.8617440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Al Nassr Saudi Club30c134.29$41 inLost-$40.754354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Al Shabab Saudi Club59c87.8$52 inWon+$3692835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4497…d5a3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club41c87.8$36 inLost-$363043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Al Shabab Saudi Club49c41.82$20 inWon+$21.41,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club35c40$14 inLost-$14944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club56c32.47$18 inLost-$18.1958542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5955…f86ebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club68c25.64$17 inWon+$8.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club40c25$10 inLost-$101931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club68c22.06$15 inWon+$7.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.