Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05877e78e564fdb5eb7946e237b2bdcfc601a5b4f2b88fda37d2b8895af8d848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 2,456$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.56 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 49c | 1,441$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,301$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.35 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 52c | 1,031$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.77 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 988.53$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.73 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 581.61$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.07 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 63c | 571.46$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 383.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.98 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 65c | 314.29$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 296.14$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 19c | 263.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 251$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 72c | 227.36$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Under | 46c | 219.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 110.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 90.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 65.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 44c | 61.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 45.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 46c | 27.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.