NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41fe1ba2f862ec6ed114c06497ecc8155164c284704045945ead73be4e13f351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Hawks, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 44,717$23,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,691.21 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Hawks | 48c | 22,000$10,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,560 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 48c | 16,568$7,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,909.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 12,423$6,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,838.87 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 9,979$5,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.88 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Hawks | 48c | 9,753$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.31 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Hawks | 48c | 7,881$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 47c | 6,648$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 48c | 6,628$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 52c | 6,496$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.58 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 6,081$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.48 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Hawks | 45c | 4,987$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.67 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Hawks | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 48c | 3,505$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 3,473$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 48c | 2,600$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,256$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.67 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,968$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.69 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 1,814$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.09 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,729$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.69 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 48c | 1,614$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.72 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 48c | 1,254$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.92 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,150$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.41 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks | 48c | 1,030$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.76 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Hawks | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Hawks | 49c | 449.02$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 47c | 384.97$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 382.42$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 307.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 278$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hawks | 47c | 235$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 225$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Hawks | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Hawks | 48c | 221.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d26…0332backed Hawks | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Hawks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Hawks | 49c | 200.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Hawks | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 45c | 194.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 154.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 48c | 154.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 153.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Hawks | 33c | 152.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Hawks | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 115.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 112.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181e…1dfcbacked Hawks | 48c | 108.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…fa0fbacked Hawks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…e0e5backed Hawks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Hawks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 92.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hawks | 45c | 86.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…5685backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 77.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Hawks | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Hawks | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7058…83fdbacked Hawks | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hawks | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Hawks | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 64.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e22…e694backed Hawks | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 59.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 54.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Hawks | 50c | 52.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hawks | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks | 40c | 50.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…95b7backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Hawks | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks | 48c | 48.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks | 49c | 43.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Hawks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Hawks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Hawks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Hawks | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 38.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Hawks | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Hawks | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Hawks | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 29.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Hawks | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40c…53f6backed Hawks | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)this page
- Hawks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.