NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c382a4682fdcf2090ee02f510d91ed6c2bcb0ca731afb603b3720687a93db91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 13,790$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,374.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 8,176$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.31 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 55c | 3,633$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 2,899$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.48 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 56c | 2,550$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…b7c2backed Under | 46c | 2,126$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…f3c8backed Under | 46c | 1,614$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…9440backed Under | 46c | 1,350$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…e94cbacked Under | 46c | 1,320$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…9f3cbacked Under | 46c | 1,265$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…1c39backed Under | 46c | 1,177$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…f469backed Over | 54c | 1,133$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…da4bbacked Over | 54c | 1,122$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…8064backed Over | 54c | 1,075$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…b5f3backed Over | 54c | 1,065$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1344…28eebacked Over | 54c | 1,055$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…0036backed Over | 54c | 1,045$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…856fbacked Over | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 70c | 751.14$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.34 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…2186backed Over | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 46c | 525.06$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 45c | 519$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.45 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…fb9dbacked Over | 54c | 505$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 475.93$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.18 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 470$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Over | 48c | 450.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.37 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 433.47$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…9a7dbacked Over | 54c | 401$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 52c | 384.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…de67backed Over | 54c | 377$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 46c | 356.72$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 53c | 318.75$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.23 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 304.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 210.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be2…a92fbacked Over | 54c | 202$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 50c | 200.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 38c | 197.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 167$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 54c | 137.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 70c | 129$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 55c | 126$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 120.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 43c | 100.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c1…a2d1backed Over | 52c | 97.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 33.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 48c | 28.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…5cf5backed Over | 48c | 28.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d87…1b41backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 54c | 27.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5this page
- Hawks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.