TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Hawks, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers47c22,998$10,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,298.242,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks53c20,218$10,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,715.543,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Hawks52c10,816$5,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,624.1620744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks52c7,701$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers47c6,975$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,697.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9501…5082backed Hawks52c5,423$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.9650%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x617f…2143backed Hawks52c4,632$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e36…69f5backed Trail Blazers48c4,350$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab47…80cfbacked Trail Blazers48c4,150$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c9…16e0backed Trail Blazers48c4,123$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Hawks54c4,062$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17921944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks51c4,062$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.421,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c9…f7c0backed Trail Blazers48c3,902$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3781…95a5backed Hawks52c3,863$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…739ebacked Trail Blazers48c3,830$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0b…04cfbacked Hawks52c3,723$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ee…7166backed Hawks52c3,623$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d1…8a29backed Trail Blazers49c3,064$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.296344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks59c2,980$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.743,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…7800backed Trail Blazers48c2,700$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…7e0ebacked Trail Blazers48c2,683$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers64c2,257$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1087…e6a6backed Hawks52c2,120$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdc…2454backed Trail Blazers49c2,117$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.532365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Hawks51c2,117$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.531457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93df…7d13backed Trail Blazers48c1,704$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe643…f806backed Trail Blazers48c1,689$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e8…156dbacked Trail Blazers48c1,662$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.24650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2908…c6f1backed Trail Blazers48c1,615$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda52…ff26backed Trail Blazers48c1,567$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727e…f964backed Hawks52c1,551$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.5250%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6895…9366backed Hawks52c1,505$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9672…856fbacked Trail Blazers48c1,505$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c7c…a593backed Hawks52c1,304$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b95…0036backed Trail Blazers48c1,254$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Trail Blazers47c1,243$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.791,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab4e…3ebabacked Hawks52c1,238$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11fa…9440backed Trail Blazers48c1,236$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…e94cbacked Trail Blazers48c1,230$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x312e…c47dbacked Hawks52c1,120$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf061…8064backed Hawks52c1,065$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceaa…b5f3backed Hawks52c1,055$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1344…28eebacked Hawks52c1,045$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…9f3cbacked Hawks52c1,035$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…1c39backed Hawks52c1,025$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Hawks52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Hawks53c754.14$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Trail Blazers47c725.35$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4423250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Trail Blazers48c678.75$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9928537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks52c619.94$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.374,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Hawks51c602.9$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4823747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d86…5cf4backed Hawks52c602$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf61a…0b67backed Hawks52c584$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.68650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2f…0da9backed Hawks52c519$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8850%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Hawks53c500$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.564139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0375…a9cbbacked Hawks52c466$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3250%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb31…f923backed Hawks52c423$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Trail Blazers47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1566046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers42c283.54$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.463,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers47c279.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.282,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ca…9117backed Hawks52c255$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Trail Blazers47c224.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.041,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Hawks52c221.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4343543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d2…e1e0backed Hawks52c221$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe45c…fd63backed Hawks52c203$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d59…22f3backed Hawks52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Hawks52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Hawks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Hawks53c178.78$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0540346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hawks52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Hawks52c136$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.725455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Hawks52c130.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688850%44 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Trail Blazers47c111.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef71…dedebacked Hawks52c109.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Hawks51c83.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.271,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks51c77.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.333,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Hawks52c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.363961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Hawks52c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.284247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Hawks53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0857…5bedbacked Hawks53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks45c55.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.114,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Hawks52c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.044146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Trail Blazers49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0224253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Hawks53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Hawks53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Trail Blazers47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cd…e8d7backed Hawks53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Trail Blazers48c37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.242462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Trail Blazers56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7132450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed Trail Blazers49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6110551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hawks50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.941,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks54c28.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.572,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb717…a67fbacked Trail Blazers48c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.562360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed Trail Blazers48c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.042334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89fe…4293backed Trail Blazers48c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked Trail Blazers48c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.043240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Hawks53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Trail Blazers48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.522142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.