NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x072be081bea1486aadd48f0b14139671a9a455fb6adb9d61f9da16ad8330d231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 82,327$38,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,856.16 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 76,049$39,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,127.26 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 65,602$34,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,133.18 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 43,524$20,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,560.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 48c | 10,250$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 10,059$4,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.55 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 9,001$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,258.22 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 6,200$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 53c | 5,113$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.83 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 4,697$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 4,292$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 47c | 4,148$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.56 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Over | 48c | 3,494$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.12 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 48c | 2,421$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.28 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 1,817$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 1,557$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.87 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 1,339$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.54 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 1,300$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 53c | 760.47$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.45 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 46c | 753$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.38 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 47c | 618.76$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.42 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 600$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 47c | 425.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 46c | 356.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.23 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 51c | 195.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 51c | 195.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 47c | 149.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 56c | 141.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 129.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 46c | 119.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 63c | 109.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 51c | 109$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 108.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…91d3backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 38c | 99.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 12c | 96.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 91.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Under | 54c | 81.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 51c | 56.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…5af5backed Under | 54c | 54.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 47c | 52.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3a…8297backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Over | 47c | 41.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Under | 53c | 37.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 34.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…165fbacked Over | 46c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…2e0cbacked Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Under | 56c | 18.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5this page
- Hawks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.