NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x009ed19f35c7fd7c33eba9ed337bc382f7d49eb571250727dfddb8af90fe1822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 53c | 16,722$8,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,790.89 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 15,481$7,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,048.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 5,614$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.85 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 4,999$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.65 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 55c | 3,300$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.98 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 2,674$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 2,343$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.07 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 2,194$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 50c | 2,040$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 2,001$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.49 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 1,064$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 913.06$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 41c | 676.3$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.45 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 508$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 51c | 491.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 54c | 404$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 399$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 389.57$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Under | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 48c | 206.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.31 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 49c | 148.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 118.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 50c | 116.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 46c | 86.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 50c | 81.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Under | 45c | 75.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 53c | 56.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 53c | 56.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 56c | 53.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Under | 48c | 51.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 57c | 45.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Under | 49c | 41.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 53c | 39.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Over | 53c | 37.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Over | 57c | 34.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…08c6backed Over | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…7abfbacked Under | 51c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 54c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5this page
- Hawks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.