NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4090553717807498d8f799e8bdd25d70e571aeb8bf1a8e59951ba422a78347d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 50c | 21,773$10,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,886.82 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 14,550$7,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,327.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 49c | 13,354$6,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,810.79 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 12,239$6,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150.52 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 6,842$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.19 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 48c | 5,083$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f9…ed2abacked Over | 48c | 4,677$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…b4cfbacked Over | 48c | 3,611$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 3,149$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.28 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,586$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…642bbacked Under | 52c | 2,133$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…06bebacked Under | 52c | 1,877$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…0fdbbacked Under | 52c | 1,152$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…6118backed Under | 52c | 1,121$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…fe57backed Under | 52c | 1,021$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…94fcbacked Under | 52c | 984$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 718.18$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 600$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 6c | 304.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 48c | 266.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 192.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 50c | 133.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 79.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 50c | 34.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 21.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5this page
- Hawks vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.