TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will San Diego FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No69c10,304$7,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,130.6277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No31c4,776$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.121,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No2c4,022$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.444639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes29c3,568$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.8714761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes80c2,774$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.781540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes30c2,114$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.871145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes26c2,051$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.4720660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes25c1,839$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.3619960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes53c1,506$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.5698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Yes69c1,128$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No32c871.24$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.951,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Yes65c827.36$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes67c671.71$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.310644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes25c625$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7516856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes56c576.91$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.842544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…8586backed No5c550.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c438.63$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No19c390.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5241339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes34c389$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4119172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes33c365.86$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes80c336.32$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2619073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes63c315.87$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.87742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes66c301.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.153652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No53c288.26$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3710753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No69c288$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7227058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No66c272$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2410273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No49c254$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4622042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No77c244.69$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.085255.8%29 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No59c237.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No17c214$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8914549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes62c209.74$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7212343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No47c205.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5780249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No63c201$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.947974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+158%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No18c188$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8410960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c187.45$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.331,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c164.66$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No52c160.34$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6716657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes9c157$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.887962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No33c147.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes70c143.79$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1637249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No42c139.79$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3447240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes35c138.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes29c137.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.232138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No70c136.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1244350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No43c130.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2913228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.875100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No75c119.47$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.312247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d8…6fcfbacked Yes23c116.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+91.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No20c113.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.947758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes77c103.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes23c101.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No18c99.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.932470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No18c99.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.933171%22 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes43c95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3416159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked No23c94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes27c94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.389357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes21c90.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No68c84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No13c83.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.79147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No49c78.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.67953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes28c72.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2624920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes55c71.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes78c62.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8222946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.822161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No23c50.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.642572%18 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.518655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes22c48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.262548%12 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes43c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5115458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No34c39.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.634837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d4…26fdbacked Yes50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21b…0167backed Yes32c38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc057…804abacked No55c36.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No56c34.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2330957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Yes70c31.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c30.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.811,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes70c30.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick70cpaid-44.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked No69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed No69c28.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.986563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes78c24.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2216853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc503…266cbacked Yes63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Yes76c23.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.68580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd0…c747backed Yes78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick79cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.351376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No78c14.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.687263.9%46 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.