Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fe7f298c6d051b084e3ddd9c93edc0b8916c7e0d3b971f313be2df4690be82e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 52c | 17,628$9,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,165.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 48c | 15,143$7,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,874.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 12,819$8,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.83 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 25c | 5,488$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.58 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.07 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 3,680$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.8 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 18c | 2,157$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 51c | 1,982$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.65 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 51c | 1,929$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 1,599$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.87 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 23c | 1,582$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.68 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 67c | 1,307$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.6 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 1,195$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.45 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed No | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 45c | 1,089$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yes | 53c | 943.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 50c | 870.79$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.4 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 26c | 800.15$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes | 51c | 728$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 663$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.13 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 56c | 655.76$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.82 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 51c | 592$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 49c | 579.17$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes | 51c | 418.59$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 36c | 400.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.97 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 21c | 399.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.99 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 364.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.89 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes | 51c | 331$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Yes | 51c | 331$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 48c | 310.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 18c | 301.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 33c | 299.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed No | 50c | 278.6$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 49c | 259.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 56c | 250.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 247.57$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Yes | 51c | 232$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 42c | 224.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 51c | 221.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 67c | 220.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 51c | 219$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 48c | 218.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 208$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 49c | 203.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Yes | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Yes | 51c | 199$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yes | 51c | 199$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 51c | 192.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 190.57$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 45c | 186.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 8c | 184$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 172$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 35c | 168.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 51c | 166$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 75c | 158$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 32c | 157.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…f1ffbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 155.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…2d4bbacked Yes | 50c | 149.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 145.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 50c | 126.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 50c | 121.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 52c | 121.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 31c | 119.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 38c | 102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 48c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…a586backed Yes | 53c | 98.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9d…8a27backed Yes | 40c | 96.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 91.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Yes | 51c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 20c | 78.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 74.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 71.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 71c | 69.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 49c | 68.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 32c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 36c | 67.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 30c | 66.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…8a80backed Yes | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 38c | 65.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Yes | 17c | 62.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 61.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will San Diego FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.