Fifa International · resolved market
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad24d95939345d6c04512e9412b9a37dac254f9487d8a6ad4d8cd985f9ab0cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 6,691$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 5,239$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.31 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 47c | 2,028$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 1,839$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.43 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 1,828$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.54 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 54c | 1,587$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.76 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 45c | 1,581$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.08 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed No | 4c | 1,399$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 1,348$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.32 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 35c | 1,163$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.35 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 1,133$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.08 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 46c | 1,022$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.94 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 944.82$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.75 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 758.49$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.14 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 727.14$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.38 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 54c | 691.25$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.01 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 686.08$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…ebfebacked No | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 54c | 666.66$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.17 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…e90dbacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 46c | 553.81$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.06 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…d7b8backed Yes | 48c | 521.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 48c | 452.77$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.03 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 441.06$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 13c | 421$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 47c | 377.15$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…c938backed Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 74c | 327.39$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 38c | 324.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 308.53$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.83 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 61c | 307.58$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 56c | 302.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 26c | 270.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…4fe1backed No | 26c | 211.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…1377backed Yes | 80c | 207.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 53c | 200.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 64c | 198.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d0e1backed No | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 65c | 159.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.19 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 54c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…e754backed Yes | 80c | 137.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 53c | 129.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 47c | 125.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaf…17e5backed Yes | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…da31backed Yes | 47c | 114.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 49c | 114.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…e098backed Yes | 28c | 107.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 103.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Yes | 71c | 98.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 77c | 97.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 33c | 96.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed Yes | 16c | 88.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 53c | 88.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Yes | 33c | 87.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…f399backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 23c | 84.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ec…0a9bbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…55fabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…6cc3backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…c387backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 71c | 63.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…c04bbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…4d13backed Yes | 76c | 59.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed No | 59c | 57.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 64c | 53.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…46d2backed Yes | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Yes | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d05…864cbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e58…94bdbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…b8d8backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…577bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 47c | 37.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…b43bbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 47c | 29.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3f…45c3backed Yes | 79c | 25.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ead…f24ebacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…aa14backed Yes | 72c | 23.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime?this page
- IR Iran leading at halftime?No won
- New Zealand leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.