Fifa International · resolved market
IR Iran leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0121f55cb141213543ecfe58dea11f0a7b0ad0511a212046cdfb66c5a6a4ce78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb254…3115backed Yes | 1c | 16,677$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 40c | 16,270$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 8,322$6,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.33 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 8,128$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.61 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 8,047$5,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.81 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 7,291$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 63c | 4,938$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.26 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 37c | 4,500$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.83 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Yes | 37c | 3,333$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 2,759$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.03 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Yes | 39c | 2,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 63c | 2,508$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.23 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 57c | 2,326$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.35 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 37c | 2,222$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.12 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,450$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.45 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 60c | 1,347$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.81 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,302$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.9 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 63c | 1,286$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 63c | 1,226$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.7 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,210$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.7 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…7e0abacked Yes | 27c | 1,186$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 1,159$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.58 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 27c | 1,088$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.13 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 39c | 987.24$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 49c | 965.99$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.39 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 55c | 956.22$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.63 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 38c | 869.42$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.88 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 61c | 774.28$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.97 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 38c | 766.92$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.43 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 11c | 690.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 652.44$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.81 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 21c | 575.47$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.62 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 565.84$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.24 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 37c | 554.54$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 37c | 548.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 44c | 501.72$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.35 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 63c | 501$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…4390backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1d…fbe2backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 37c | 471.38$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 429.03$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 60c | 399.97$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 370.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 60c | 351.73$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 35c | 351.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 39c | 346.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 63c | 336.51$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 308.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 38c | 307.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…b8c6backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 283.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 70c | 271.33$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 260.57$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…a779backed Yes | 39c | 246.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 230$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 55c | 224.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 64c | 213.04$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 74c | 211.16$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 39c | 194.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 62c | 167.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 62c | 167.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bc…ece0backed Yes | 18c | 162.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…26eabacked Yes | 24c | 156.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 22c | 150.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…1377backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…9a7cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 35c | 126.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed No | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5560backed Yes | 37c | 124.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 122.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 29c | 113.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 37c | 102$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 24c | 81.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…bb92backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yes | 21c | 78.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 38c | 75.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…884cbacked Yes | 30c | 72.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed No | 63c | 72.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…d771backed Yes | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 62c | 69.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IR Iran leading at halftime?this page
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- New Zealand leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.