Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff81ced64dcb40f391473999d075cf9a1da38ba822cf396c9e6e6dd3518de1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 41c | 3,143$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 2,864$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 35c | 2,817$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.45 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 41c | 2,816$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.79 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 2,544$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.45 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 70c | 2,391$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.66 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 76c | 1,889$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.27 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 1,763$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 1,712$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.9 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 39c | 1,660$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.97 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 70c | 1,600$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 54c | 1,575$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.27 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 27c | 1,496$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.97 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 64c | 1,346$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.21 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,293$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.87 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 1,224$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 16c | 999.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 17c | 753$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 717.25$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.1 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 16c | 637.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 601.58$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 17c | 539.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 43c | 524$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed No | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes | 11c | 341.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 36c | 333.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.34 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 59c | 315.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.32 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 303$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…dee0backed Yes | 17c | 281.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…36eabacked Yes | 36c | 279.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed No | 32c | 258.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 32c | 256.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79d…6f6cbacked Yes | 17c | 228.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 59c | 223.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 202.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 63c | 159.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 22c | 150.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Yes | 63c | 150.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…a01bbacked Yes | 17c | 140.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 24c | 134$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 17c | 125.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 20c | 124.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…8e7dbacked Yes | 15c | 119.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…c326backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 17c | 112.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 70c | 111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…1ca6backed Yes | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 101.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…e314backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 20c | 75.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…6cc3backed Yes | 77c | 65.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 44c | 53.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 43c | 53.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 72c | 41.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…4d13backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…9c6dbacked Yes | 38c | 31.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…884cbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yes | 66c | 24.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 70c | 19.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…b1d8backed Yes | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand leading at halftime?this page
- IR Iran leading at halftime?No won
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.