Champions League · resolved market
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c59f6f58eedbd99540386b68f3f5b5979b2381c796977e56921dda8681bd21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 55c | 3,634$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.02 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 2,009$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.19 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,446$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.28 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 66c | 1,417$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.08 | 195 | 35.9%70 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed No | 27c | 1,235$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 897.54$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.12 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 882.44$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.74 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 60c | 846$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.6 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 727.87$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.37 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 12c | 426.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 399.75$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…3616backed Yes | 21c | 341$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 59c | 305.21$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 59c | 298.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 289.69$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 59c | 247.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 192.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked No | 28c | 178$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 50c | 169.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Yes | 42c | 119.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 20c | 91.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…7fc7backed Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 82.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 316 | 56.6%179 W · 137 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 42c | 78.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 19c | 74.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3650…3359backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 21c | 65.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 23c | 60.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 69c | 54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 68c | 48.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 54c | 45.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -14.8wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.9%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 58c | 40.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 60c | 30.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 62c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa926…2e9bbacked No | 58c | 28.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 69c | 23.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 20.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 59c | 18.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 62c | 18.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 79c | 15.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: FK Sutjeska Nikšić O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: FK Sutjeska Nikšić O/U 1.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FK Sutjeska Nikšić (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)FK Sutjeska Nikšić won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-2.5)FK Sutjeska Nikšić won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.