Champions League · resolved market
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5f671488d96155b97f30e53e16a788c2edf4c590d68a7b355002e3089a0d024
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 37c | 33,861$12,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,694.26 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 24,805$15,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,689.65 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 21c | 10,501$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.48 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 8,261$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.24 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 13c | 7,778$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 5,102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 14c | 4,322$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.63 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 21c | 3,429$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.01 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 67c | 2,847$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.98 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 2,196$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.21 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked Under | 22c | 2,189$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 26c | 2,179$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 7c | 2,103$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 8c | 2,069$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +207.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 16c | 1,881$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed Over | 76c | 1,705$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 10c | 1,696$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Over | 78c | 1,652$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 1,047$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…2407backed Under | 5c | 900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 8cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…a8bbbacked Under | 8c | 585.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 74c | 568.16$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.56 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…0276backed Under | 17c | 500.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e853backed Under | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 64c | 488.34$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.52 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…29a8backed Under | 5c | 486$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…22f0backed Under | 3c | 424.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Under | 24c | 416.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Under | 11c | 401.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed Under | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 24c | 376.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 9c | 355.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 15c | 352.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 25c | 311.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 40c | 309.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 14c | 279.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 9c | 270.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 22c | 231.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 59c | 223.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Over | 77c | 212.87$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0e…952fbacked Over | 68c | 199.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…b1bcbacked Over | 71c | 195.56$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 69c | 183.87$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…78bdbacked Over | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 24c | 171.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 80c | 150.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…1d97backed Under | 39c | 128.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 21c | 115.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed Over | 77c | 109.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 66c | 76.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 70cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 20c | 59.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 39c | 53.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…fbf2backed Over | 79c | 47.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 38.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 70c | 17.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 0.5this page
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: FK Sutjeska Nikšić O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: FK Sutjeska Nikšić O/U 1.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Qairat FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FK Sutjeska Nikšić (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)FK Sutjeska Nikšić won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-2.5)FK Sutjeska Nikšić won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.