Tennis · resolved market
San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Francesco Forti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf696d1f7299c1383fedd2c0d0a797ffdefb9d22469174c386218956f1ea3d9f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Acostaof Facundo Acosta, Francesco Forti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Francesco Forti | 11c | 7,486$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.44 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Francesco Forti | 8c | 2,580$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.73 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Francesco Forti | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Francesco Forti | 13c | 2,164$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.55 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed Francesco Forti | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Francesco Forti | 8c | 999.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…62b2backed Francesco Forti | 7c | 756.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…2602backed Francesco Forti | 12c | 603.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Francesco Forti | 7c | 599.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Francesco Forti | 16c | 577.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Francesco Forti | 13c | 516.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Francesco Forti | 12c | 405.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Francesco Forti | 19c | 334.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Francesco Forti | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Francesco Forti | 15c | 329.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Francesco Forti | 15c | 318.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Francesco Forti | 14c | 314.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Francesco Forti | 15c | 265.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Francesco Forti | 12c | 263$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Francesco Forti | 8c | 260.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Francesco Forti | 16c | 244.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Francesco Forti | 24c | 220.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Francesco Forti | 14c | 213.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Francesco Forti | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Francesco Forti | 16c | 209.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Francesco Forti | 18c | 203.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francesco Forti | 14c | 199.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Francesco Forti | 21c | 116.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Francesco Forti | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Francesco Forti | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Francesco Forti | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Francesco Forti | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Facundo Acosta | 76c | 27.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 18.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Facundo Acosta | 73c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.