Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Mackenzie McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca98c8f4e6eebce824d785a4d5fbb7f9a034494efe621da7c6bcbcef35438e11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Michelsenof Alex Michelsen, Mackenzie McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mackenzie McDonald | 41c | 15,172$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.18 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Alex Michelsen | 60c | 11,552$6,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620.97 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mackenzie McDonald | 4c | 7,175$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.11 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 5,922$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.92 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5b60backed Alex Michelsen | 57c | 5,830$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.98 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mackenzie McDonald | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Alex Michelsen | 79c | 4,552$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.92 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 27c | 4,156$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Alex Michelsen | 74c | 3,035$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.02 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Mackenzie McDonald | 2c | 2,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 2,556$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.66 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mackenzie McDonald | 21c | 2,357$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.9 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Mackenzie McDonald | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Mackenzie McDonald | 21c | 2,037$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.53 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alex Michelsen | 70c | 1,954$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.85 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Mackenzie McDonald | 14c | 1,810$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Mackenzie McDonald | 4c | 1,520$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed Mackenzie McDonald | 29c | 1,390$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Mackenzie McDonald | 20c | 1,300$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Mackenzie McDonald | 43c | 1,299$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.68 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Mackenzie McDonald | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 24c | 699.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 5c | 688.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mackenzie McDonald | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Alex Michelsen | 32c | 550$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.5 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 35c | 549.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alex Michelsen | 53c | 510.71$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.72 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Alex Michelsen | 33c | 450$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 38c | 447.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Mackenzie McDonald | 33c | 308.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…4944backed Alex Michelsen | 65c | 292.47$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 164 | 69.5%114 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Mackenzie McDonald | 21c | 278.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Alex Michelsen | 79c | 278.48$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Mackenzie McDonald | 24c | 270.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Alex Michelsen | 77c | 259.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Alex Michelsen | 33c | 240$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Alex Michelsen | 33c | 240$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 15c | 229.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Mackenzie McDonald | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Alex Michelsen | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…7eb9backed Alex Michelsen | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Mackenzie McDonald | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed Alex Michelsen | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Alex Michelsen | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed Alex Michelsen | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 199.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Mackenzie McDonald | 25c | 199.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…6929backed Mackenzie McDonald | 33c | 179.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mackenzie McDonald | 22c | 175.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Alex Michelsen | 56c | 159.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Mackenzie McDonald | 34c | 153.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Alex Michelsen | 69c | 143.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d58abacked Alex Michelsen | 49c | 134.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Mackenzie McDonald | 23c | 132.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 8c | 131.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mackenzie McDonald | 38c | 128.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Mackenzie McDonald | 31c | 121.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…1e57backed Mackenzie McDonald | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Alex Michelsen | 71c | 104.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 104.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Mackenzie McDonald | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 94.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Alex Michelsen | 33c | 91.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed Alex Michelsen | 33c | 90.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Alex Michelsen | 56c | 88.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e4…68bebacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 81.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Mackenzie McDonald | 25c | 64.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Mackenzie McDonald | 25c | 52.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…221ebacked Alex Michelsen | 78c | 51.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Alex Michelsen | 76c | 49.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Mackenzie McDonald | 32c | 49.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Alex Michelsen | 77c | 44.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…b1f2backed Mackenzie McDonald | 26c | 44.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…62b2backed Alex Michelsen | 78c | 42.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Alex Michelsen | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Alex Michelsen | 51c | 38.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Alex Michelsen | 33c | 38.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…935fbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 40c | 37.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Alex Michelsen | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Alex Michelsen | 76c | 31.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alex Michelsen | 57c | 29.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Michelsen | 51c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Alex Michelsen | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 266 | 40.6%108 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 28.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Alex Michelsen | 48c | 24.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e79…22e3backed Alex Michelsen | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 117 | 56.4%66 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Alex Michelsen | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 17.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 455 | 64.6%294 W · 161 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alex Michelsen | 76c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Mackenzie McDonaldthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Michelsen vs McDonaldMichelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.