South American Leagues · resolved market
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd8cd114020c3e379e6fd4725299f005b3fcec768f0ba970804a402c9b010ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed Over | 11c | 2,591$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 17cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…74b0backed Over | 11c | 1,748$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Over | 11c | 1,618$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +351.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Over | 11c | 998$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Over | 11c | 918$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked Over | 11c | 902$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed Over | 11c | 590$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Over | 11c | 577$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +203%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed Over | 11c | 476$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 149.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Over | 11c | 144$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Over | 11c | 126$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5this page
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-2.5)AA Argentinos Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.