World Politics · resolved market
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b3c4a8779f467c490d05894d66634e7ed0bc982eed4463ca90fd1f59b78d1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cb2…9e2dbacked Yes | 74c | 4,068$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…4d49backed No | 64c | 3,017$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 16c | 1,107$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.62 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…f447backed Yes | 2c | 987.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 2c | 884.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed No | 79c | 860$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 11c | 623.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 28c | 600$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 21c | 571$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 23c | 525$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +11.7wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 2c | 517.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked Yes | 28c | 402.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 21c | 400$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 21cpaid | +213.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 325.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Yes | 21c | 289$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 28c | 285.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.25 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 225.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed Yes | 17c | 214$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…c9a5backed Yes | 7c | 160.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 30c | 142.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…48a3backed Yes | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 58c | 102.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.54per pick | 16cpaid | +410.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +373.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…ec51backed No | 77c | 77.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…314cbacked Yes | 29c | 69.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 23c | 54.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 76c | 37.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf283…937bbacked No | 77c | 34.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…244fbacked Yes | 38c | 31.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 62c | 17.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?this page
- Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?No won
- Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?Yes won
- Will Perú Libre (PL) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?No won
- Will Podemos Perú (PP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?No won
- Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?No won
- Will Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.