F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70c9e60aea578a270cc5502a99983e14b5d37452ca3c5daab0ca4f8947a8af95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 10,517$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 48c | 3,488$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.77 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 43c | 2,536$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.79 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed No | 20c | 2,305$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.79 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 59c | 2,021$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 40c | 1,858$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.4 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 52c | 1,747$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.19 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +9.1wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x437a…2948backed Yes | 51c | 880$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 44c | 858.31$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.73 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…3f8fbacked Yes | 51c | 630$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 72c | 627.65$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 59c | 567.94$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.78 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 72c | 507.06$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…7a37backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 41c | 369.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.29 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…6bfdbacked Yes | 75c | 249.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f8…a613backed Yes | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 50c | 233.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…bc57backed Yes | 48c | 206.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Yes | 66c | 181.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 62c | 133$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…8c7fbacked Yes | 52c | 130.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 60c | 111$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…46eabacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…7f82backed Yes | 50c | 89.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 45c | 79.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed No | 50c | 60.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ba…97d0backed Yes | 70c | 59.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…ad6bbacked No | 44c | 57.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 76c | 53.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…bbebbacked Yes | 60c | 52.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 61c | 51.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 44c | 45.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…b0fabacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…c047backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…6968backed Yes | 52c | 28.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 40c | 28.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8f…53e8backed Yes | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1c…8d02backed Yes | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…56b9backed No | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.