South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-04-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85fe123718c62aba391ead5ce7034feef9814b4ff2144160970ed27b48f962f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 27c | 3,910$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.59 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,618$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.74 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 73c | 983.8$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.17 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 39c | 795.42$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.21 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 507.71$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.47 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 57c | 481.66$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 71c | 339.83$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 33c | 293.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 58c | 290.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 54c | 232.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 30c | 167.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…4520backed Yes | 59c | 165.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 155.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 71c | 139.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked No | 43c | 112.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 32c | 104.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 68c | 102$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 73c | 97.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 26c | 84.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked No | 40c | 82.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 69c | 61.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 44c | 57.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 49c | 54.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 79c | 53.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 42c | 51.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 58c | 50.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…13e1backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 51c | 47.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 45.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 57c | 28.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed No | 42c | 24.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 22.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Yes | 58c | 22.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 75c | 21.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 73c | 20.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 73c | 19.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-04-14?this page
- Will CD Palestino vs. Montevideo City Torque end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Palestino win on 2026-04-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.