South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-04-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ebd305d006a2b65b28c2419753f3fe649ce7a792a2e149d9a95638ed24b1384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 56c | 4,250$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.05 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 1,704$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.59 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 893.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 692.83$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.24 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 44c | 511.62$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 41c | 470.72$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 61c | 202.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 170.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 58c | 168.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 136.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 44c | 129.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 37c | 105.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 39c | 102.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 99.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 45c | 98.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 43c | 59.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 55c | 48.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 44c | 44.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 45c | 37.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 41c | 32.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 56c | 27.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 38c | 26.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 44c | 23.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Palestino win on 2026-04-14?this page
- Will CD Palestino vs. Montevideo City Torque end in a draw?No won
- Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-04-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.