TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
AM Gamingof Betclic Apogee Esports, AM Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed Betclic Apogee Esports52c898.42$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.454,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed AM Gaming62c884.9$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.3128254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…b15bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports38c736.91$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Betclic Apogee Esports62c663.31$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.113,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Betclic Apogee Esports37c431.38$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.272,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked AM Gaming33c347.94$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6936645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Betclic Apogee Esports12c347$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.091,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked AM Gaming56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13215044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed AM Gaming37c260.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.134,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed AM Gaming43c219.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.871,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed AM Gaming79c202.54$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5411958%69 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Betclic Apogee Esports20c190.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.762,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked AM Gaming58c184.75$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.74,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc8…09e5backed AM Gaming61c164.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.662360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed AM Gaming37c157.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0923644.1%104 W · 132 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports30c156.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.463,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed AM Gaming64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2511155%61 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01af…25cfbacked AM Gaming27c147.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.354055%22 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Betclic Apogee Esports37c145.94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.615,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ce8…75f2backed Betclic Apogee Esports12c137.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked AM Gaming60c134.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1726048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked AM Gaming59c130.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5737140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked AM Gaming76c130.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8431845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Betclic Apogee Esports56c128.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.176,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked AM Gaming73c111$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.312,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming73c101.26$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.257,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed AM Gaming31c95.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.049140.7%37 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports38c90.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.763,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed AM Gaming44c86.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9796543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Betclic Apogee Esports24c85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.812,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d65…6a04backed Betclic Apogee Esports54c83.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.978542.4%36 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed AM Gaming69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Betclic Apogee Esports61c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.493261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209f…7a55backed Betclic Apogee Esports73c58.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.43043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x765f…eb73backed Betclic Apogee Esports35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports30c54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.353,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked AM Gaming51c43.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.574,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked AM Gaming49c40.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8639353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports35c32.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked AM Gaming59c31.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8134147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked AM Gaming68c29.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4733362.2%207 W · 126 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8c…e076backed Betclic Apogee Esports55c27.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.163655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0786…df1dbacked AM Gaming60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84571.1%32 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.