Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-24?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13bcf092c5556e0ebef954a4965bdfc53e4145cd611d72f6f8ea1bc122f170f6

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 24, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $115,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $112,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,101 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes	18c	5,527$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.27	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes	2c	5,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.27	259	54.8%142 W · 117 L	+17.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	24c	4,647$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,529.69	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yes	7c	3,398$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	18c	3,347$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.59	300	31%93 W · 207 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	18c	3,198$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.65	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes	0c	2,495$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	71c	1,998$1,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,408.69	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes	69c	1,622$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.32	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes	15c	1,603$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.5	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc0…a8a0backed Yes	19c	1,579$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	44c	1,525$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.62	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aae…419dbacked Yes	3c	1,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes	9c	1,400$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	192	24.5%47 W · 145 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes	71c	1,298$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.78	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes	74c	1,215$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	16c	1,134$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.4	203	22.7%46 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	75c	1,052$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.95	293	43%126 W · 167 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes	6c	1,044$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.65	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked Yes	5c	981.06$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	65c	921.2$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.25	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes	22c	900$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes	24c	842.9$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes	16c	839.11$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.26	247	32.4%80 W · 167 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes	18c	820.43$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes	2c	738.37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	83	28.9%24 W · 59 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a7…6713backed Yes	15c	717.96$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33ff…dbe5backed Yes	73c	716.99$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes	16c	700.21$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.02	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	9c	699.88$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.98	146	41.8%61 W · 85 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No	72c	684.24$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.71	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes	63c	681.37$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes	75c	664.49$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	178	51.1%91 W · 87 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes	47c	638.55$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.57	184	38%70 W · 114 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Yes	17c	601.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa3…b307backed Yes	5c	580.42$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f34…4353backed Yes	74c	548.18$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.76	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d2…5cc1backed Yes	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33f1…f95fbacked Yes	73c	492.1$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	2c	488.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	78c	466.59$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.41	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	54c	461.21$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.07	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes	4c	456.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes	73c	411.47$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a23…bfddbacked Yes	70c	400.45$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.83	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	72c	397.93$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.4	164	42.7%70 W · 94 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No	57c	370.26$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.51	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9f…d101backed Yes	16c	365.88$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes	14c	353.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.84	168	33.9%57 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes	20c	350$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.32	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-6.2wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes	4c	348.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.97	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b71…ca50backed Yes	4c	322.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-49%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes	13c	307.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	25cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	129	34.1%44 W · 85 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	3c	293.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes	72c	277.9$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes	73c	275.6$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	129	48.8%63 W · 66 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…5e40backed Yes	9c	267.68$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes	78c	256.85$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes	16c	250.8$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.88	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-74%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x689a…ab74backed Yes	80c	250.35$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes	16c	231$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.96	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e24…c7e6backed Yes	6c	213.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes	24c	204.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes	74c	200$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes	71c	186$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.06	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes	16c	184.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked No	22c	181.82$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.82	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No	69c	179.97$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.83	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a7b…32a6backed Yes	72c	175.78$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.56	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes	73c	168.89$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.37	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	17c	149.86$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes	20c	145$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes	16c	142.27$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a8…f964backed Yes	78c	140.59$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Yes	74c	135.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x120e…93f0backed Yes	74c	134.64$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes	77c	130.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No	26c	125.49$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.86	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe132…7a38backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	124	41.9%52 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	69c	121$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.14	287	54.7%157 W · 130 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fca…6129backed Yes	16c	120$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes	17c	120$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3874…b8a6backed Yes	59c	119.99$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No	20c	99.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.46	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes	72c	96.12$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.4	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes	17c	94.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	70	30%21 W · 49 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…eb54backed Yes	74c	94.73$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes	16c	94.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	87	34.5%30 W · 57 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-32%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d02…aa1ebacked Yes	19c	86.84$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No	18c	81.62$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.05	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+18.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed No	29c	79.97$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.62	330	59.1%195 W · 135 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf987…6ea7backed No	26c	75.69$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.78	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-24?this page
Will Burkina Faso vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?No won
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-24?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event