Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Komodo vs Kopite (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc89f3158dce1e4f97d2940e4acd9856b3ec375ef015391c800542766e7abb3f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Komodoof Komodo, Kopite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Kopite | 62c | 1,326$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.7 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Komodo | 32c | 1,300$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Kopite | 68c | 944.81$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.59 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kopite | 54c | 916.77$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.36 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…ae03backed Komodo | 29c | 750$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Kopite | 16c | 667.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Komodo | 35c | 644.87$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Kopite | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Kopite | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…fcd6backed Kopite | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Kopite | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Kopite | 68c | 441.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…17ddbacked Kopite | 71c | 432$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Komodo | 48c | 380.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.08 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Komodo | 50c | 379.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x991c…5f1bbacked Kopite | 71c | 318$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…719cbacked Kopite | 50c | 308.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Kopite | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Komodo | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Kopite | 65c | 182.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Kopite | 52c | 162.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Komodo | 40c | 155.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Komodo | 65c | 153.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Kopite | 64c | 149.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Komodo | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Komodo | 35c | 114.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…fb07backed Kopite | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked Kopite | 66c | 98.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Kopite | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Kopite | 54c | 73.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Kopite | 65c | 61.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kopite | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…5c24backed Kopite | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Komodo | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Komodo | 46c | 44.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Komodo | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Kopite | 55c | 33.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…ceb0backed Komodo | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Komodo | 56c | 25.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb879…57c1backed Komodo | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Komodo vs Kopite (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Komodo vs Kopite - Game 1 WinnerKomodo won
- Dota 2: Komodo vs Kopite - Game 2 WinnerKopite won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.