NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6147979ff2ba0b09fa4a2db77f60589f5da00f34ccb50c772715be23fc18f9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Rockets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 55c | 17,352$9,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,571.33 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 14,774$6,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,134.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 55c | 6,633$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…b5c5backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 3,367$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 2,248$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.84 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 2,100$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.58 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Rockets | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.5 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Rockets | 57c | 1,059$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,037$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…d25ebacked Rockets | 27c | 1,006$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Rockets | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 40c | 929.77$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 738$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.72 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 55c | 720.44$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 29c | 712.43$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.46 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rockets | 28c | 504.33$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Rockets | 46c | 500$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.6 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Rockets | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Rockets | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Rockets | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Rockets | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 216.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Rockets | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 202$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 197.93$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 191.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…8ff2backed Rockets | 56c | 176.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 170$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Rockets | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 147.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Rockets | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 57c | 123.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 109.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 105.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 76.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e573backed Rockets | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockets | 29c | 56.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Rockets | 57c | 47.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Rockets | 46c | 38.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 36.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rockets | 29c | 36.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadf…8d36backed Rockets | 57c | 36.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 55c | 30.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…7949backed Rockets | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa014…00c8backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Rockets | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 27.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7503backed Rockets | 58c | 25.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Rockets | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Rockets | 56c | 24.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Rockets | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…95bfbacked Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 18.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…ebd5backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.