NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2143c8439448f201ddc2a077818d2021035069e0a4d10f71ff60a97000357f28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7397…860cbacked Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…30c8backed Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…9435backed Over | 49c | 7,900$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…b1dbbacked Under | 51c | 7,900$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…8776backed Over | 49c | 7,800$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc782…70eabacked Under | 51c | 7,800$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 5,161$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.07 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 3,398$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,085$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 51c | 2,062$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.38 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 1,821$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 71c | 952.52$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.73 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 359.44$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 49c | 348.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…2b9bbacked Over | 42c | 208.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 26c | 140.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 122.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 118.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 59c | 118$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 11c | 108.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 17c | 95.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 59c | 92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…3ea8backed Over | 67c | 88.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 13c | 88.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Over | 49c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 17c | 67.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 63.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 50c | 59.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…7ee7backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…ff7abacked Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 40.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 29c | 38.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 60c | 23.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 72c | 14.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.