NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e73c6350a028ba1f0c1004fdd61375a09cdaed1f26473b59df8804211e8bf11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Under | 47c | 10,402$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.03 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 6,209$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 6,133$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 51c | 6,078$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 4,149$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.3 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 53c | 4,148$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 1,948$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 52c | 1,263$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.2 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 885.8$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 710.81$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.29 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Over | 51c | 301.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 51c | 296.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 49c | 169.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 156.61$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 51c | 131.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Over | 50c | 91.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 50c | 60.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Over | 49c | 44.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 42.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 46c | 40.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Under | 51c | 32.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 74c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.