TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under52c46,868$24,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,424.1311656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c13,748$6,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,645.639,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c8,484$4,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,029.573,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c7,004$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.582,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under56c4,300$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8921,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8802450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Over49c3,000$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4781,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4940…05cbbacked Over44c2,937$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c2,013$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.165,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c1,552$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.661,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c1,460$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.42,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c968$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c966$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over44c720$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.81,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over48c651$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.4834654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over48c612.5$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29414742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c600$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c585.92$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.244,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c509$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.492,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under52c492$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1654351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18821858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over48c305.97$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under57c264.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0424556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under58c186$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.124560%27 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over50c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.420353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over46c125$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under58c112$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.044757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over48c93.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1193849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa7…2e1abacked Over53c91.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.42045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over48c84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3223153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over48c81.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.110234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over43c76.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.874547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.273445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.433147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Under57c58.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8716036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Under50c51.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.676953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07bd…5d79backed Over44c49.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.932437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over49c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb14…d929backed Over42c47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.741942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4918…3db7backed Over42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.322948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Over42c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.482748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c40.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.828852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.823348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83831.6%12 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.831551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8620456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9236651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9215051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9331…0951backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Over42c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.862657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd512…91eebacked Over42c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.123753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.127350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.122048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.132649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.123850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.127251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.125250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.959141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.131852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.727353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.727150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Over53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411642.2%49 W · 67 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Under58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2824552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2814648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2845251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7631250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2815352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2815854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2815953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7626648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2812545.6%57 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7625150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…0f55backed Over53c23.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65450%27 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…87dabacked Over53c23.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9105…1ae2backed Over53c23.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x709c…7347backed Over53c23.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.