NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc3f6985973336cfcfae1579e0e704d0c8f949b1ad38831419f47888d11b76d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 5,464$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.79 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 3,969$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.32 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 54c | 1,650$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 1,381$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 59c | 250.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…7f3bbacked Over | 38c | 195$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 187$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…2f6ebacked Under | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 44c | 118.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 61c | 95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 37c | 85.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 67.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 27c | 65.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 62c | 63.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 40c | 50.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 40c | 49.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 38c | 42.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…ee8ebacked Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…1baebacked Over | 41c | 30.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked Under | 61c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 63c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.