NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55c2155d37eb7a21746524922335de9cfec18d42c16e9ebfc8d8cfd211381302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Rockets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Rockets | 49c | 302,013$147,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,986.48 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 169,086$86,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,852.21 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 124,011$63,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,765.5 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,400 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Rockets | 52c | 51,505$26,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,875 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 48c | 28,492$13,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,675.78 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 11,170$5,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Rockets | 53c | 11,111$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.82 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 10,807$5,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,146 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 9,339$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.6 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 7,858$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.34 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Rockets | 48c | 5,041$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.7 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,345$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.28 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 48c | 2,304$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.25 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,968$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.04 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 734.15$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.15 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Rockets | 48c | 551.38$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.66 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 48c | 430.67$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…d25ebacked Rockets | 24c | 292.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…3f87backed Rockets | 44c | 219.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Trail Blazers | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 144$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Trail Blazers | 71c | 113.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…dedebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Trail Blazers | 63c | 63.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 48c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…3a8bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 56.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…637dbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 41.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 28.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 20.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.