NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f5ea8ddd2a60e5f38713a9c6e4cfbd7169cd68da521f88317a09caae6160574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 52c | 57,588$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 30,210$14,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,709.15 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 15,832$7,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,139.96 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 8,322$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 52c | 5,979$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 47c | 4,966$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 4,688$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 1,119$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.14 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 53c | 930.19$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.19 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 57c | 702.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.81 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 43c | 652.81$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 624.85$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 51c | 581.22$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.42 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 11c | 564.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 531.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Over | 33c | 499.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 431.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.27 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…cbdbbacked Over | 19c | 315$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 50c | 250.23$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…aa17backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 42c | 157$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Over | 47c | 156.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 57c | 144.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 122$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 92.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 47c | 73.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 56c | 49.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Under | 57c | 35.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 35.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 33.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 51c | 29.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.