South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe03a2d217bb8f1a3fc847e39c981f05470cf2cea8bb306cd54cf7b6f596420c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,834$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 18c | 2,720$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 45c | 1,652$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.21 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 1,505$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.82 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 11c | 1,191$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 795.5$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 21c | 540$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 11c | 301$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 29c | 191.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 24c | 164.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Yes | 13c | 153.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 148.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 56c | 130.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 43c | 90.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 19c | 84.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 83.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 38c | 77.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 19c | 72.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 44c | 65.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…b04abacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 66c | 48.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 43c | 46.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 32.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked No | 75c | 27.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Racing Club vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.