Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morgan State Bears vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff4ee3bb3182dc88f5a72ac5ce8ea587edbdb35426869efa30765ff4f062c356
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morgan State Bearsof Morgan State Bears, South Carolina State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0257…6beabacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 54c | 995$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 56c | 981$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…f05fbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 56c | 806$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…f7a5backed Morgan State Bears | 44c | 743$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed Morgan State Bears | 46c | 737$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 48c | 514.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Morgan State Bears | 52c | 498$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.04 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked Morgan State Bears | 44c | 446$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed Morgan State Bears | 44c | 415$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Morgan State Bears | 46c | 258$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Morgan State Bears | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…5ebdbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 46c | 199.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed Morgan State Bears | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c19…77cdbacked Morgan State Bears | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Morgan State Bears | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…f4cabacked Morgan State Bears | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 50c | 48.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 53c | 47.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Morgan State Bears | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Morgan State Bears | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Morgan State Bears | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…8685backed Morgan State Bears | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Morgan State Bears | 48c | 22.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.